The Accuracy of Astrological Predictions: Debunking the Myth

The claim that astrology can predict something with 90 percent accuracy is not supported by scientific evidence. Astrology operates on symbolic interpretations, making its accuracy subjective and highly debated. While some individuals may find value in astrological predictions, it's essential to approach such claims with a critical mindset.

Understanding Weather and Probability

Consider the weather forecast for Atlanta, Georgia, today. The rain prediction is at 90 percent, indicating the probability of rain is predicted to be ninety percent. This binary prediction, however, represents a simplified view. If we were to look at the situation from a more complex standpoint, the probability would fluctuate widely. For instance, in the Sub-Saharan Kalahari Desert, where it hardly ever rains, the probability of rain is very low at any time of the year. In contrast, at Singapore, which lies on the equator, the probability of rain any day of the year is very high.

Similarly, the accuracy of astrological predictions depends on the complexity of the phenomenon being predicted. Simpler and more binary predictions are more likely to be correct, which is why weather forecasts can be relatively accurate. However, when it comes to complex matters, the chances of accuracy reduce.

Quantifying Astrological Predictions

Let's delve into the specifics of astrological predictions. Suppose an astrologer predicts that X will receive Rs. 100 on a certain date at a specific time. If X receives Rs. 100, the prediction is 100 percent true. If X receives Rs. 87.25, the prediction is 87.25 percent accurate. In the case where X receives Rs. 40, 15, or 2, the prediction falls significantly short of the exact amount. Conversely, if X loses Rs. 50 instead, the prediction is completely off the mark, and one would likely demand an explanation or possibly generate stern criticism toward the astrologer.

Astrological analysis can be categorized into two types: descriptive and mathematically quantifying with precision. X getting married or not in his life is different from X getting married at a specific age or date or with a particular person and from a specific place. X taking a flight is different from when he actually takes off due to a random selection by the software.

Embracing Subjectivity

The descriptive part of astrological predictions is either 0 or 100. If X is suffering from a disease and a qualitative improvement is not observed, one must either change the prescription or find a new physician. Likewise, if an astrological prediction fails to deliver on its promises, it can either be dismissed entirely, or steps can be taken to improve the accuracy, such as changing the astrologer or seeking different methods of analysis.

Lastly, the complexity of the universe and its impacts on astrology bring about further questions. If there is a universal phenomenon affecting the entire galaxy, it could potentially render the laws of astrology, akin to Newton's laws in quantum mechanics, ineffective. This presents a challenge for astrologers as they strive to predict events accurately, especially during times of uncertainty like the ongoing Coronavirus lockdown.

In conclusion, while astrology can provide valuable insights, it cannot be relied upon for precise predictions. The accuracy of such predictions is highly dependent on the complexity of the phenomenon being predicted and the subjectivity involved in interpretation. It's crucial to approach astrological readings with a critical and nuanced understanding.