Introduction

After serving as the Vice President under Donald Trump, many are questioning Mike Pence's future plans in politics. With his career as a politician seemingly dead, is it possible that he might run for president again?

Is Mike Pence's Political Career Dead?

No, his career as a politician is far from over. However, the path ahead may be challenging.

Will He Be Better Off Not Running?

The country will indeed be better off without Mike Pence as a presidential candidate. His past associations and actions may hinder his chances of winning. Additionally, his alignment with certain political stances and policies may not resonate well with the current electorate.

Alternative Options: The Governorship

It's worth considering that Mike Pence might have better odds of winning if he had remained as Indiana's governor rather than serving as Vice President. This is a position that has historically led to a higher chance of a presidential nomination.

Historical Precedents in American Politics

In the post-World War II era, we have seen that former governors have a higher probability of winning the presidency. For example, Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, and George W. Bush all started as governors. Similarly, former Vice Presidents who served under 2-term presidencies, like Nixon, H.W. Bush, and Biden, also have a higher chance of success. However, the exceptions are few and do not apply to all cases.

Middle ground examples, like Al Gore, show that former VPs who served under one-term presidents have a very low chance of winning. Michael Dukakis and Mitt Romney, both former governors, also failed to win. This trend indicates a clear pattern in American politics, where serving under a 2-term president greatly increases the likelihood of a successful presidential run, while serving under a one-term president severely diminishes the chances.

Final Thoughts

It is highly improbable that Mike Pence will undergo a successful presidential run. His alignment with the Trump administration and his reputation may hinder his appeal to voters. Moreover, he might be better off focusing on other areas of public service or advocating for causes he believes in rather than pursuing a path that has historically proven difficult to navigate.

Do you think Mike Pence will consider another run for the presidency? Or do you believe his political aspirations are over? Share your thoughts in the comments section below.