Can Checking DV Lottery Results Improve Chances of Selection?
Over the past twenty years, the DV lottery process has been relatively stable with only a couple of exceptions where an 'additional draw' was conducted. These were rare instances when the final results were not announced as intended, and participants were advised to check the results.
For the 55,000 annual quota of DV visas, an estimated 100,000 applicants are selected. This process allows for flexibility to accommodate unexpected rejections, changes of mind, or failed interviews among the selected applicants. Generally, there are two winners for each available visa slot. Due to this ratio, it is quite clear that repeatedly checking the results does not alter the outcome if it is already stated that you have not been selected.
Monitoring the results again and again holds no advantage; no matter how fervently you check, if the message is 'Has not been selected,' there is no changing this result. Such persistent checking does not increase your chances of being selected, as the selection process is entirely random.
A Note on Additional Draws and Underselection
Only under extreme circumstances, such as underselection, might there be an additional draw to refill the quota. However, based on historical data, it is extremely unlikely. In the vast majority of cases, there are sufficient applicants to fill the 55,000 quotas, and any additional visas are assigned to those who missed out initially.
For example, in one exceptional year, Algeria faced an over-selection issue. Despite reaching the final allocation of 75,000 visas, they received more applications, pushing the upper limit to 100,000. However, the additional draw was not implemented, even when the selection process was close to underselection. It is evident that checks after initial results do not lead to any additional benefits.
Understanding the Process and Its Probabilities
Your likelihood of being one of the fortunate 55,000 is about one in two hundred thousand. This statistic underscores the random nature of the selection process. There is no reason to believe that persistently checking your status will improve your odds. The selection is handled through a computerized lottery system, which does not account for repeats or obsessive checking.
Those fortunate enough to be selected will be informed, as evidenced by the distribution of Visa Bulletins. These bulletins provide monthly updates on the status of case numbers for your region, but persistent checking after initial results is not advisable.
Conclusion
In conclusion, focusing on your immense efforts in constantly checking the DV lottery results is both futile and potentially detrimental to your mental well-being. The selection process is purely random, and there is no method to increase your chances of being selected. Embrace the journey as a lottery, where the outcome is beyond your control and existence primarily involves patience and hope.